Hércules vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
43.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
SLA
1 - 0
HER
51%
27%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1979 |
HER
3 - 2
CEL
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
SPO
2 - 0
HER
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
HER
3 - 0
VCF
40%
28%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1979 |
CEL
2 - 0
HER
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
ATM
0 - 0
SPO
71%
18%
12%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1979 |
RMA
2 - 2
ATM
66%
19%
15%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
ATM
4 - 0
CEL
82%
12%
6%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
REC
0 - 1
ATM
22%
26%
52%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1979 |
ATM
1 - 1
RMA
53%
23%
25%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |