Hércules vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
HER
1 - 0
PPJ
64%
22%
15%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
GET
2 - 2
HER
57%
24%
18%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
HER
2 - 1
CDM
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
CDT
2 - 1
HER
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
HER
2 - 0
LAN
66%
22%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
ALC
3 - 2
GET
27%
29%
45%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
CDM
1 - 1
ALC
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
ALC
1 - 1
CDT
23%
28%
49%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
LAN
1 - 3
ALC
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
ALC
2 - 0
VEC
31%
28%
41%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |