Hércules vs AD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
17.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
BAL
3 - 1
HER
48%
22%
31%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1950 |
PUL
4 - 1
HER
54%
20%
26%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
HER
3 - 0
ELC
83%
11%
7%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
CAR
4 - 1
HER
34%
23%
43%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
HER
5 - 1
BAL
72%
15%
13%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1950 |
PUL
5 - 1
LEV
65%
17%
18%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1950 |
PUL
4 - 1
HER
54%
20%
26%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
MUR
1 - 0
PUL
70%
16%
13%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
PUL
2 - 1
GRA
55%
21%
24%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
RCD
1 - 1
PUL
64%
19%
17%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |