Hercules SD vs C.D. Larín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.5%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.2%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.8%
4-0
11%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.6%
2.9%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hercules SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 1
HER
46%
21%
33%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
HER
1 - 1
MAR
39%
22%
39%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 4
HER
32%
21%
47%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
HER
4 - 1
UCA
45%
21%
33%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
OCA
1 - 5
HER
24%
19%
57%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
C.D. Larín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LAR
0 - 4
OBR
24%
21%
55%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RAC
2 - 2
LAR
46%
20%
34%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 3
SPO
42%
21%
37%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LAR
0 - 2
JUV
52%
21%
27%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 1
LAR
80%
12%
8%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |