Hercílio Luz vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 1
HER
78%
17%
5%
|
43 | 76 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
HER
1 - 0
MAR
31%
26%
43%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 0
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
HER
2 - 3
ECP
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
CRI
1 - 1
HER
75%
17%
8%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
MET
0 - 1
MAR
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ECP
2 - 0
MET
31%
23%
45%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
MET
0 - 1
JEC
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
BRU
1 - 0
MET
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
MET
0 - 0
FFL
18%
23%
60%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | +1 |