Les Herbiers vs Lorient II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
32.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
9º
2º
36
4º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
63% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 42 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
91.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
86.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
86.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
22% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
78% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 81.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Les Herbiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
LES
1 - 0
ANG
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ANG
3 - 2
LES
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LES
1 - 1
STA
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
LES
1 - 1
BER
32%
29%
39%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
VIE
1 - 1
LES
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
YZE
1 - 0
LOR
22%
27%
51%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LOR
0 - 0
MOA
39%
29%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
LOR
18%
25%
57%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 1
SAU
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
TRE
4 - 1
LOR
22%
27%
51%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |