Heracles vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
37.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
HER
1 - 0
RKC
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
BVO
2 - 1
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
HER
3 - 2
AZA
17%
22%
61%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
BRE
2 - 0
HER
54%
24%
23%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
HER
0 - 1
NEC
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 1
PSV
10%
17%
73%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
RKC
1 - 2
WIL
23%
23%
54%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 1
GRO
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
NEC
0 - 0
WIL
29%
24%
46%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
KVM
4 - 1
WIL
58%
20%
22%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |