Heracles vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
HER
1 - 2
GRO
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
UTR
3 - 1
HER
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
HER
2 - 0
GRA
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
FEY
6 - 0
HER
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
HER
0 - 0
VVV
47%
25%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2007 |
WIL
1 - 2
GRA
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
GRO
1 - 0
WIL
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
WIL
2 - 3
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
WIL
6 - 0
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
AZA
2 - 0
WIL
79%
14%
6%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | -1 |