Heracles vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
26.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
VVD
2 - 0
HER
72%
16%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
HER
7 - 1
DVO
55%
21%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
FCB
4 - 1
HER
56%
21%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
HER
3 - 2
ENS
48%
23%
30%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
SPA
2 - 1
HER
68%
17%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
WIL
2 - 3
FOR
56%
21%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
PSV
5 - 2
WIL
68%
17%
15%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
WIL
1 - 1
FEY
29%
24%
48%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
WIL
1 - 3
VVD
45%
23%
32%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
DVO
0 - 4
WIL
54%
21%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |