Heracles vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
HER
0 - 2
PSV
21%
24%
55%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
WIL
2 - 6
HER
22%
23%
56%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
AJA
3 - 0
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
HER
4 - 2
SCH
40%
25%
36%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
HER
4 - 1
EXC
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 1
TWE
17%
23%
60%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 0
GRA
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 3
NAC
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 0
GRA
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 0
ADO
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |