Heracles vs Dordrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
GAE
3 - 1
HER
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
HER
4 - 1
VVV
51%
25%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
VOL
6 - 1
HER
60%
21%
18%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
HEL
0 - 0
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2001 |
FCE
1 - 0
HER
57%
22%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2001 |
TEL
3 - 0
FCD
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2001 |
FCD
2 - 1
MVV
58%
22%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
TEL
1 - 1
FCD
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2001 |
FCD
4 - 1
EIN
55%
22%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
EXC
2 - 1
FCD
79%
13%
8%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |