Heracles vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
36.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2000 |
HEL
1 - 1
HER
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
HER
2 - 0
HFC
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
VOL
1 - 0
HER
48%
25%
28%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2000 |
HER
1 - 0
GRO
24%
26%
49%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
GAE
3 - 1
HER
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2000 |
EXC
2 - 3
NAC
38%
25%
37%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
TEL
1 - 1
EXC
27%
25%
48%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
EXC
3 - 0
FCO
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
VVV
1 - 1
EXC
34%
25%
42%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
EXC
2 - 0
ADO
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |