Heracles vs Emmen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
43.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1999 |
HER
0 - 1
HEL
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
TEL
2 - 2
HER
45%
24%
31%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
HER
4 - 2
VVV
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 1999 |
GRO
2 - 1
HER
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
HER
1 - 0
FCD
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1999 |
FCE
2 - 1
TEL
77%
16%
7%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1999 |
VVV
1 - 0
FCE
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
FCE
1 - 0
GRO
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
FCD
1 - 0
FCE
30%
24%
46%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
FCE
3 - 0
ZWO
51%
24%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |