Heracles vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
63.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
8º
16º
14º
78
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
F95
0 - 1
HER
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
GAE
4 - 1
HER
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
SCH
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 2
HER
59%
22%
20%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HER
0 - 0
ALM
51%
24%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
AJA
3 - 1
GRO
64%
20%
16%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
SLP
1 - 1
AJA
29%
22%
49%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
RKC
0 - 2
AJA
13%
18%
69%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
AJA
4 - 0
BJK
56%
23%
22%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
GAE
1 - 1
AJA
19%
20%
60%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |