Heracles vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
71.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
ASW
1 - 3
HER
6%
14%
79%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ZWO
1 - 0
HER
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
GAE
4 - 2
HER
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
HER
3 - 2
WIL
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
HER
1 - 0
RKC
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
AJA
5 - 0
PSV
44%
23%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
AJA
4 - 0
BVB
33%
22%
45%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SCH
0 - 2
AJA
11%
17%
72%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
AJA
0 - 1
UTR
69%
17%
14%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
AJA
2 - 0
BJK
70%
17%
14%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |