Heracles U21 vs Excelsior U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
23%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2017 |
NEC
2 - 1
HER
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
HER
4 - 1
RKC
52%
21%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2017 |
HER
2 - 2
HER
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2017 |
FYN
0 - 1
HER
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2017 |
HER
1 - 2
ADO
43%
24%
33%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2017 |
EXC
3 - 2
NAC
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2017 |
ADO
4 - 0
EXC
60%
19%
21%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
EXC
2 - 2
NEC
56%
20%
24%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2017 |
CAM
0 - 0
EXC
44%
22%
34%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2017 |
EXC
2 - 2
FYN
32%
22%
47%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +2 |