Hennef 05 vs Borussia Freialdenhoven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
+62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
12º
9º
33
8º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hennef 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
BGP
2 - 3
H05
10%
15%
74%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
H05
2 - 2
USC
67%
17%
16%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SPF
3 - 1
H05
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
H05
0 - 1
BER
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SIE
1 - 3
H05
18%
19%
63%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Borussia Freialdenhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
BFR
0 - 2
BSC
25%
22%
53%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FVE
0 - 2
BFR
18%
20%
62%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BGP
0 - 3
BFR
25%
21%
54%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BFR
0 - 4
USC
50%
22%
29%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -3 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SPF
0 - 0
BFR
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |