Hennef 05 vs Bergisch Gladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
7º
12º
8º
52
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 62 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 60 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 37 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
61.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 29 |
13º
|
64.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 28 |
14º
|
63.5% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
96% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 11 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hennef 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SIE
1 - 3
H05
18%
19%
63%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
H05
0 - 3
VFL
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 1
H05
26%
20%
53%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
H05
4 - 1
SPV
87%
9%
4%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
HUR
1 - 5
H05
13%
17%
70%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
BER
3 - 1
BSC
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BFR
2 - 0
BER
15%
19%
66%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BER
5 - 0
BGP
81%
13%
7%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
USC
0 - 1
BER
29%
21%
50%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BER
0 - 2
SPF
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -2 |