Hendon vs Folkestone Invicta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
27.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hendon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
NEE
3 - 3
HEN
14%
18%
68%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
SUT
3 - 0
HEN
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
HEN
0 - 1
WIN
65%
20%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
HAR
0 - 3
HEN
20%
21%
59%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
HAR
0 - 4
HEN
15%
20%
65%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Folkestone Invicta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2018 |
LOW
0 - 2
FOL
21%
21%
58%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
FOL
2 - 2
THU
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
DUL
4 - 3
FOL
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 3
FOL
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
FOL
3 - 1
BUR
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |