Hendon vs Biggleswade United analysis


40	ELO	15
-4.9%	Tilt	6%
5547º	General ELO ranking	10669º
243º	Country ELO ranking	639º
ELO win probability

73.4%

Hendon

16.7%

Draw

9.9%

Biggleswade United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

73.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%

16.7%

Draw

0-0

4.6%

1-1

7.9%

2-2

3.4%

3-3

0.7%

4-4

0.1%

0

16.7%

9.9%

Win probability

0.73

Expected goals

0-1

3.4%

1-2

2.9%

2-3

0.8%

3-4

0.1%

4-5

0%

-1

7.3%

0-2

1.2%

1-3

0.7%

2-4

0.2%

3-5

0%

-2

2.1%

0-3

0.3%

1-4

0.1%

2-5

0%

-3

0.5%

0-4

0.1%

1-5

0%

-4

0.1%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hendon

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
09 Sep. 2013	HAR 1 - 2 HEN 37% 25% 38%	39	34	5	0
07 Sep. 2013	LOW 2 - 3 HEN 59% 22% 19%	38	47	9	+1
31 Aug. 2013	HEN 1 - 1 LEW 47% 25% 28%	38	37	1	0
26 Aug. 2013	HEN 1 - 1 WIN 58% 22% 20%	38	31	7	0
24 Aug. 2013	ENF 3 - 2 HEN 30% 24% 46%	39	32	7	-1