Henan FC vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
7º
14º
8º
29
4º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Henan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
QIN
0 - 2
HEN
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
HEN
22%
27%
51%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
HEN
1 - 0
SHA
18%
23%
59%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
HEN
2 - 1
HAN
29%
26%
45%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
HEN
1 - 0
GFC
53%
24%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SHI
3 - 1
SHA
8%
18%
74%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
QYI
1 - 1
SHI
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
SHI
56%
23%
22%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
SHI
0 - 5
SHA
12%
24%
64%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SHI
1 - 1
WFC
18%
23%
59%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |