Henan FC vs Nantong Zhiyun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
7º
14º
14º
11
9º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 72 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 67 |
2º
|
45.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 62 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 58 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 53 |
5º
|
42.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 49 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 40 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 40 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 31 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 30 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 29 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 29 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 28 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 27 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 27 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
44.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
76.5% | 35.5% |
|
Relegation
|
23.5% | 64.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Henan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 2
HEN
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
HEN
0 - 2
SJF
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 1
HEN
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
HEN
2 - 2
MEI
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
QYI
1 - 1
HEN
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nantong Zhiyun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 3
SHA
10%
22%
68%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
MEI
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CBC
1 - 0
GUA
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 3
WFC
18%
24%
58%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
TIT
1 - 1
GUA
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |