Hemsworth MW vs Goole analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
9.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hemsworth MW
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
HEM
2 - 2
ECC
47%
21%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HEM
3 - 1
HAL
75%
14%
11%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ALB
0 - 1
HEM
35%
22%
43%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HEM
2 - 2
AFC
38%
22%
41%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HEM
1 - 0
GUA
85%
10%
5%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Goole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
HAN
4 - 1
GOO
75%
14%
11%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GOO
0 - 4
SIL
22%
21%
57%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 4
GOO
21%
20%
60%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
WIN
4 - 2
GOO
82%
12%
7%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GOO
0 - 7
GAR
11%
17%
72%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |