Heist vs Union Saint-Gilloise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.4%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.6%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
83.4%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.4%
0-3
14%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
18.4%
0-4
9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
-4
11.2%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.6%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
UNI
4 - 0
HEI
86%
11%
3%
|
41 | 80 | 39 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
HEI
1 - 0
OLY
47%
24%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
PAT
2 - 2
HEI
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
HEI
4 - 0
LOC
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
HEI
3 - 0
ONH
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Union Saint-Gilloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
TEM
0 - 5
UNI
4%
12%
85%
|
83 | 33 | 50 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
MON
2 - 6
UNI
22%
22%
57%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 2
DEI
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
BRG
0 - 4
UNI
19%
23%
59%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
LOM
0 - 2
UNI
18%
23%
59%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |