Heist vs Torhout analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
HEI
2 - 2
RUP
43%
25%
33%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
SOT
1 - 0
HEI
23%
24%
53%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
HEI
3 - 0
RAC
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
VWH
1 - 3
HEI
46%
24%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
HEI
3 - 2
TER
59%
21%
19%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Torhout
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
RUP
4 - 1
TOR
71%
17%
12%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
TOR
2 - 0
SOT
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
RAC
2 - 2
TOR
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
TOR
2 - 0
VWH
25%
24%
52%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +3 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
TER
1 - 0
TOR
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |