Heist vs Geel-Meerhout analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
EEA
2 - 0
HEI
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
HEI
2 - 7
ANT
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
DES
1 - 0
HEI
46%
25%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BRU
1 - 1
HEI
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
HEI
3 - 1
VIS
44%
26%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Geel-Meerhout
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ANT
1 - 1
GEE
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
GEE
1 - 2
DES
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
WSB
2 - 1
GEE
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
GEE
3 - 2
DEI
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
TOR
0 - 2
GEE
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |