Heinenoord vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
53.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heinenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ALE
0 - 0
HEI
48%
23%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
HEI
4 - 2
NIV
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
KLO
3 - 0
HEI
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
HEI
2 - 4
ORA
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -3 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SLI
4 - 1
HEI
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 1
HOE
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
RVV
2 - 3
EXC
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 2
SMI
58%
21%
21%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
SCH
4 - 0
EXC
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
EXC
4 - 0
HEE
83%
12%
5%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |