Heider SV vs VfR Neumunster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
66.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+140%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
HUL
5 - 1
HEI
66%
19%
16%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
HEI
1 - 2
KRO
40%
25%
35%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BOR
1 - 2
HEI
27%
24%
49%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
ECK
0 - 2
HEI
29%
24%
47%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
HEI
2 - 0
NTS
29%
24%
47%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
VfR Neumunster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
VFR
4 - 2
SCH
79%
14%
7%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
VFR
3 - 0
FLE
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ECK
0 - 2
VFR
15%
21%
64%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
VFR
4 - 0
LUB
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
VFR
1 - 0
TOD
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |