3. Liga . Jor. 33

Heidenheim vs Werder Bremen II analysis

Heidenheim Werder Bremen II
59 ELO 55
7.7% Tilt 19.3%
248º General ELO ranking 3147º
17º Country ELO ranking 86º
ELO win probability
56.8%
Heidenheim
23.3%
Draw
20%
Werder Bremen II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
Heidenheim
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20%
Win probability
Werder Bremen II
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Heidenheim
+18%
+18%
Werder Bremen II

ELO progression

Heidenheim
Werder Bremen II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Heidenheim
Heidenheim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 2011
TUS
TuS Koblenz
4 - 0
Heidenheim
HEI
43%
26%
32%
59 61 2 0
06 Apr. 2011
HEI
Heidenheim
1 - 2
Hansa Rostock
ROS
33%
26%
41%
60 68 8 -1
02 Apr. 2011
ERF
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
0 - 0
Heidenheim
HEI
51%
24%
25%
59 64 5 +1
26 Mar. 2011
SGD
Dynamo Dresden
0 - 0
Heidenheim
HEI
47%
25%
28%
59 62 3 0
19 Mar. 2011
HEI
Heidenheim
0 - 0
VfR Aalen
VFR
63%
21%
16%
60 54 6 -1

Matches

Werder Bremen II
Werder Bremen II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 2011
WER
Werder Bremen II
0 - 0
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
CZJ
42%
26%
33%
55 57 2 0
06 Apr. 2011
EBT
Eintracht Braunschweig
1 - 2
Werder Bremen II
WER
76%
17%
8%
54 72 18 +1
01 Apr. 2011
WER
Werder Bremen II
0 - 0
Kickers Offenbach FC
OFC
30%
27%
43%
54 64 10 0
19 Mar. 2011
WAC
SV Wacker Burghausen
2 - 1
Werder Bremen II
WER
51%
25%
25%
55 55 0 -1
11 Mar. 2011
WER
Werder Bremen II
1 - 0
SV Babelsberg 03
BAB
50%
25%
25%
54 55 1 +1
X