Heidenheim vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
DAR
2 - 1
HEI
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
WER
2 - 1
HEI
20%
24%
56%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
HEI
3 - 1
VFR
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
OSN
0 - 0
HEI
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
CZJ
0 - 0
HEI
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ARB
2 - 2
PRE
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SAA
2 - 4
ARB
56%
23%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ARB
2 - 2
WAC
48%
26%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ERF
1 - 1
ARB
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
WEH
0 - 0
ARB
48%
25%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |