Heidenheim II vs Spielberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
37.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidenheim II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
VFR
3 - 1
HEI
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
AST
5 - 0
HEI
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
HEI
1 - 0
BAL
42%
22%
35%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
NOT
4 - 1
HEI
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
HEI
0 - 3
STU
54%
21%
25%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Spielberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
SPI
1 - 2
AST
17%
20%
63%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2014 |
NOT
3 - 1
SPI
68%
18%
15%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
SPI
0 - 1
KSC
46%
22%
32%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
SPI
1 - 0
VIL
40%
25%
36%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
HOL
3 - 1
SPI
44%
24%
33%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |