Australia Second Division Victory Round 12

Heidelberg Utd vs Manningham United analysis

Heidelberg Utd Manningham United
42 ELO 22
-1.7% Tilt 0.5%
2727º General ELO ranking 52093º
18º Country ELO ranking 895º
ELO win probability
79.2%
Heidelberg Utd
12.8%
Draw
8%
Manningham United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
Heidelberg Utd
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
8%
Win probability
Manningham United
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Heidelberg Utd
Their league position
Manningham United
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
18
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
South Melbourne
60
60
100%
Avondale Heights
54
54
100%
Oakleigh Cannons
53
53
100%
Heidelberg Utd
51
51
100%
Hume City FC
50
50
100%
Dandenong City
37
37
100%
FC Melbourne Knights
35
35
100%
Altona Magic
33
33
0%
Port Melbourne Sharks
33
33
0%
Dandenong Thunder SC
10º
28
28
10º
100%
St Albans Saints
11º
25
25
11º
100%
Green Gully Cavaliers
12º
24
24
12º
100%
Manningham United
13º
18
18
13º
100%
Moreland City
14º
14
14
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Heidelberg Utd
Manningham United
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Heidelberg Utd
Manningham United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Heidelberg Utd
Heidelberg Utd
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2024
HUM
Hume City FC
2 - 2
Heidelberg Utd
HEU
30%
26%
45%
42 37 5 0
19 Apr. 2024
HEU
Heidelberg Utd
3 - 2
Moreland City
MCF
85%
10%
5%
41 13 28 +1
12 Apr. 2024
MEL
FC Melbourne Knights
0 - 1
Heidelberg Utd
HEU
43%
23%
35%
40 38 2 +1
05 Apr. 2024
HEU
Heidelberg Utd
6 - 0
St Albans Saints
STA
80%
13%
7%
40 22 18 0
23 Mar. 2024
AVH
Avondale Heights
0 - 0
Heidelberg Utd
HEU
66%
19%
16%
39 47 8 +1

Matches

Manningham United
Manningham United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2024
MNG
Manningham United
2 - 3
Dandenong City
DAC
36%
22%
42%
22 27 5 0
20 Apr. 2024
MNG
Manningham United
1 - 3
Hume City FC
HUM
24%
21%
56%
23 36 13 -1
13 Apr. 2024
MCF
Moreland City
1 - 4
Manningham United
MNG
18%
19%
64%
22 14 8 +1
06 Apr. 2024
MNG
Manningham United
1 - 2
FC Melbourne Knights
MEL
21%
20%
59%
23 37 14 -1
22 Mar. 2024
STA
St Albans Saints
2 - 1
Manningham United
MNG
34%
23%
43%
23 21 2 0