FC Hegelmann vs Žalgiris II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Hegelmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
ATM
0 - 1
HLI
14%
20%
66%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2020 |
HLI
0 - 3
PAN
23%
19%
58%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
HLI
2 - 0
FKK
82%
12%
6%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
DTE
0 - 0
HLI
56%
23%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
HLI
0 - 0
VIV
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
ZAL
3 - 1
MIN
36%
21%
43%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
LIE
3 - 3
ZAL
76%
15%
9%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
ZAL
4 - 0
BFA
51%
20%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Jul. 2020 |
TRA
4 - 3
ZAL
61%
19%
20%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2020 |
PAN
2 - 0
ZAL
71%
17%
12%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |