FC Hegelmann vs Dziugas Telsiai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
9º
2º
37
1º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
87.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 57 |
2º
|
86% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 46 |
3º
|
71% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 44 |
4º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
5º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 41 |
6º
|
29% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 35 |
8º
|
91.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 19 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 18 |
10º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
12.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
87.5% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 99% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Hegelmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
PAN
3 - 0
HLI
34%
27%
40%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
VGT
0 - 6
HLI
2%
6%
91%
|
77 | 27 | 50 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
FAS
0 - 3
HLI
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SUD
4 - 0
HLI
24%
27%
49%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
HLI
2 - 1
ZAL
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dziugas Telsiai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
DTE
0 - 1
KZA
26%
27%
47%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
DTE
2 - 0
DAI
45%
28%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2025 |
AKM
2 - 3
DTE
6%
13%
80%
|
68 | 12 | 56 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
DTE
0 - 1
FAS
24%
26%
50%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
TRA
0 - 1
DTE
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |