Heerenveen vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
FCK
1 - 0
SCH
30%
28%
43%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2003 |
SCH
2 - 0
FCK
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
LIE
0 - 1
SCH
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
SCH
4 - 1
LIE
57%
22%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2003 |
AJA
3 - 0
SCH
75%
15%
10%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
VIL
2 - 0
ZBR
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2003 |
ZBR
1 - 1
VIL
30%
27%
43%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
BRE
1 - 1
VIL
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
VIL
2 - 0
BRE
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
VIL
1 - 4
BET
44%
27%
30%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |