Heerenveen vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
SCH
3 - 2
HER
64%
21%
16%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
EXC
0 - 2
SCH
32%
25%
44%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
AJA
3 - 1
SCH
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
SCH
2 - 0
VVV
69%
18%
12%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
GRO
1 - 0
SCH
40%
26%
35%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
GRO
2 - 1
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 0
GRA
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
HER
4 - 1
NAC
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 2
RJC
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
AJA
3 - 0
NAC
78%
14%
8%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |