Heerenveen vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
AJA
4 - 1
SCH
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
SCH
2 - 2
GAE
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
TWE
2 - 0
SCH
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ZWO
2 - 2
SCH
36%
25%
39%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SCH
2 - 2
BVO
59%
22%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
HER
3 - 1
ADO
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
HER
1 - 2
PSV
21%
23%
56%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
GAE
1 - 3
HER
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
HER
6 - 2
FCE
58%
21%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
HER
1 - 3
WIL
45%
25%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |