Heerenveen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
AJA
5 - 2
SCH
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
SCH
3 - 0
RJC
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
AZA
3 - 1
SCH
44%
25%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
TWE
1 - 4
SCH
36%
25%
39%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SCH
2 - 0
BVO
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 1
TWE
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 4
FEY
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
HER
0 - 0
EXC
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
EXC
4 - 0
SPA
51%
23%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
WIL
2 - 3
EXC
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |