Heerenveen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
40.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ADO
0 - 1
SCH
29%
24%
47%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
EXC
3 - 0
SCH
27%
24%
49%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SCH
3 - 1
GRO
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
BVO
2 - 1
SCH
28%
25%
48%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
SCH
4 - 0
ZWO
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
DNI
1 - 0
AJA
38%
24%
38%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 0
EXC
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PSV
1 - 3
AJA
40%
24%
36%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
WAR
0 - 3
AJA
29%
23%
48%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
WIL
1 - 1
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |