HEBC Hamburg vs Niendorfer TSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
36.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
2º
12º
5º
62
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HEBC Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
DAS
2 - 1
HEB
77%
14%
10%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
HEB
1 - 1
THA
68%
17%
16%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 3
HEB
24%
20%
57%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
HEB
3 - 1
ATB
72%
15%
13%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
SAS
1 - 2
HEB
74%
14%
11%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Niendorfer TSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NIE
4 - 1
VHG
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ALT
1 - 0
NIE
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NIE
2 - 1
ETH
70%
16%
14%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
RUG
1 - 2
NIE
15%
19%
67%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
NIE
1 - 2
THA
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |