HEBC Hamburg vs Alsterbruder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.6%
13%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
2º
12º
5º
34
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HEBC Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
SAS
1 - 2
HEB
74%
14%
11%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
HEB
3 - 3
UTO
85%
10%
5%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
WAN
1 - 2
HEB
27%
22%
51%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
HEB
1 - 1
BUC
75%
14%
11%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 4
HEB
47%
21%
32%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Alsterbruder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
ATB
7 - 2
VHG
27%
19%
54%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ALT
3 - 0
ATB
73%
15%
12%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ATB
1 - 3
ETH
37%
21%
43%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
NIE
2 - 1
ATB
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ATB
1 - 3
DAS
12%
15%
73%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |