Hebar Pazardzhik vs Velbazhd Kyustendil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
3.3%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hebar Pazardzhik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 1
HEB
13%
19%
68%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
HEB
3 - 0
SLI
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
VIH
1 - 1
HEB
8%
18%
74%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
HEB
3 - 0
RIL
84%
12%
4%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
SEP
3 - 0
HEB
32%
26%
43%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Velbazhd Kyustendil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
VEL
0 - 1
FKM
22%
21%
58%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 0
VEL
87%
10%
3%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
PIR
2 - 0
VEL
78%
14%
9%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
VEL
1 - 0
BOT
52%
20%
28%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
VEL
2 - 2
BEL
34%
24%
43%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +2 |