Hebar Pazardzhik vs Septemvri Simitli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
12.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hebar Pazardzhik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
YAN
1 - 0
HEB
18%
23%
60%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
SEP
0 - 1
HEB
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
OFK
2 - 0
HEB
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
LPL
3 - 1
HEB
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
FCT
1 - 1
HEB
58%
21%
22%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
STR
2 - 0
SEP
45%
27%
29%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
OFK
2 - 0
SEP
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SEP
3 - 0
KAR
24%
27%
50%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
LOV
1 - 1
SEP
71%
20%
10%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
LSO
0 - 0
SEP
74%
18%
9%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +1 |