Lowland League . Jor. 30

Hearts II vs Caledonian Braves analysis

Hearts II Caledonian Braves
34 ELO 34
1.6% Tilt 2.9%
4571º General ELO ranking 5922º
50º Country ELO ranking 61º
ELO win probability
57.1%
Hearts II
19.5%
Draw
23.3%
Caledonian Braves

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
Hearts II
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
23.4%
Win probability
Caledonian Braves
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hearts II
+36%
+64%
Caledonian Braves

Points and table prediction

Hearts II
Their league position
Caledonian Braves
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
16º
13º
51
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Spartans
79
79
100%
Rangers FC II
74
77
100%
Celtic II
76
76
100%
Stirling University
71
71
100%
Tranent Juniors FC
65
65
100%
East Kilbride
64
64
100%
Berwick Rangers
61
61
100%
Civil Service Strollers
58
58
100%
Bo'ness United
54
54
100%
Caledonian Braves
10º
51
51
10º
0%
Broomhill FC
11º
51
51
11º
0%
Gala Fairydean Rovers
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Hearts II
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Cumbernauld Colts
14º
46
46
14º
100%
Cowdenbeath
15º
36
36
15º
100%
East Stirlingshire
16º
33
33
16º
100%
Gretna 2008
17º
26
26
17º
100%
AFC Edinburgh University
18º
16
16
18º
100%
Dalbeattie Star
19º
8
8
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
Hearts II
Caledonian Braves
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Hearts II
Caledonian Braves
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hearts II
Hearts II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2023
GRE
Gretna 2008
0 - 2
Hearts II
HOM
17%
18%
65%
35 20 15 0
28 Jan. 2023
HOM
Hearts II
3 - 0
AFC Edinburgh University
AFC
92%
6%
2%
35 7 28 0
14 Jan. 2023
BER
Berwick Rangers
1 - 1
Hearts II
HOM
50%
21%
29%
35 35 0 0
07 Jan. 2023
HOM
Hearts II
2 - 1
Cumbernauld Colts
CUM
40%
22%
38%
34 37 3 +1
21 Dec. 2022
RFC
Rangers FC II
2 - 3
Hearts II
HOM
87%
9%
4%
32 51 19 +2

Matches

Caledonian Braves
Caledonian Braves
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2023
SPA
Spartans
5 - 1
Caledonian Braves
CBF
71%
18%
12%
33 44 11 0
14 Jan. 2023
CBF
Caledonian Braves
2 - 3
Tranent Juniors FC
TRA
21%
22%
57%
34 46 12 -1
07 Jan. 2023
GAL
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 - 4
Caledonian Braves
CBF
33%
21%
46%
33 26 7 +1
03 Jan. 2023
CBF
Caledonian Braves
10 - 0
Dalbeattie Star
DAL
84%
10%
6%
32 17 15 +1
31 Dec. 2022
CBF
Caledonian Braves
2 - 3
Broomhill FC
BFC
43%
21%
35%
33 35 2 -1
X