Heart of Midlothian vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
ABE
0 - 1
HOM
43%
28%
29%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
HOM
1 - 2
GLA
28%
28%
44%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
HOM
0 - 2
MHE
47%
28%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
FAL
4 - 3
HOM
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
ICT
1 - 3
HOM
45%
28%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
STM
2 - 2
HAM
38%
29%
34%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
MHE
3 - 1
STM
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
STM
1 - 2
ICT
33%
29%
38%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
STJ
2 - 1
STM
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
KIL
2 - 1
STM
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |