Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
HOM
4 - 0
DUN
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
CEL
1 - 0
HOM
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
HIB
0 - 4
HOM
47%
24%
29%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
FAL
1 - 2
HOM
31%
27%
42%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
HOM
1 - 1
GLA
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
KIL
1 - 4
CEL
33%
24%
43%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
HIB
2 - 1
KIL
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
DUN
2 - 2
KIL
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
KIL
2 - 1
FAL
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
GLA
4 - 0
KIL
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |