Heanor Town FC vs Aylestone Park analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.2%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
5.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heanor Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
MAT
4 - 2
HEA
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
HEA
3 - 2
LON
16%
19%
65%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
HEA
5 - 1
HIN
27%
22%
52%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
HIN
1 - 1
HEA
63%
19%
18%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
KIR
3 - 1
HEA
17%
20%
63%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Aylestone Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
SNA
2 - 0
AYL
68%
17%
14%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |