HBS vs Alcides analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
15.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HBS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
BEQ
3 - 0
HBS
46%
23%
32%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
HBS
1 - 1
LEO
47%
22%
31%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SJC
1 - 3
HBS
62%
18%
20%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
HBS
0 - 0
BEQ
44%
22%
34%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
HBS
1 - 1
HOL
35%
26%
40%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
ALC
0 - 2
SJC
22%
20%
59%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ALC
3 - 0
RKV
22%
21%
57%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +4 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
SJC
4 - 0
ALC
83%
10%
7%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ALC
1 - 2
LEO
21%
20%
59%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ALC
0 - 3
HOO
15%
17%
67%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |