Hayes FC vs Sutton United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
34.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hayes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
WEL
1 - 1
HAY
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
HAY
3 - 2
LEW
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
HAY
0 - 1
BOG
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2004 |
THU
2 - 1
HAY
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
BIS
0 - 4
HAY
38%
25%
38%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sutton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
SUT
1 - 1
HAV
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
GRA
5 - 1
SUT
40%
26%
35%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
SUT
2 - 3
RED
78%
15%
8%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
BOG
0 - 1
SUT
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
DOR
2 - 2
SUT
20%
23%
58%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |