Hayes & Yeading United vs Tonbridge Angels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hayes & Yeading United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
HAY
1 - 0
KIN
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
HAY
6 - 1
HAR
81%
13%
6%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
HAY
4 - 3
BOG
62%
20%
18%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
BEA
0 - 2
HAY
8%
16%
76%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
HAY
2 - 1
TAU
65%
20%
16%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tonbridge Angels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
DAR
1 - 1
TON
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
TON
1 - 1
HAM
30%
25%
45%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
HUN
1 - 3
TON
53%
24%
22%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
TON
0 - 1
BAT
38%
26%
36%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
EBB
5 - 1
TON
59%
23%
18%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |